Fantasy Football: Change In Draft Strategy?

by Jimmy Dinsmore 7/14/2008 4:46:00 PM

Last year in fantasy football it was the year of the wide receiver. WRs from everywhere, including the waiver wire, and late rounds proved invaluable to fantasy owners. Owners, much like myself, who always subscribed to the theory that WRs are a dime a dozen got burned. Compile that with a significant amount of RB injuries and underperforming RBs and the WR position became pivotal to fantasy success.

That trend is likely to be at the front of the minds of fantasy owners this year when they draft. In our current mock draft, we're through 4 rounds now and of the first 40 picks, 13 are WRs. That's almost 33%. By my count we're already down to the third tier of WRs and some 2nd tier RBs and QBs are still on the board. So, clearly, my advice to you this year is don't overlook the WR position.

Randy Moss is a first rounder. TO is a second rounder and even Reggie Wayne or Larry Fitzgerald could be late 2nd rounders. In our GSI draft, I passed up Fitzgerald in Round 3 and took Tony Romo instead. I have now regretted that decision as there would've been elite QBs still available for me in Round 4. Instead I'm now stuck with Plax Burress as my top WR. So, I've got to find points and scores in another way because my other advice to you is, don't reach. Just because I missed out on the tiered WRs, does not mean I'm stretching for a Joey Galloway or the like earlier than his value warrants.

Patience pays off, and this is where you research pays off. Find that unheard of guy, that underperformer veteran or that rookie that you think will break out.

Remember, both Wes Welker and Dwayne Bowe played major roles for their teams and helped many fantasy owners. Both guys were late round picks or undrafted free agents. So, stay calm, but don't hold tight to old ways of thinking. Always take the best available player, even if it is WR. 

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7/14/2008 10:43:08 PM

Adam Bartel

I think you're completely right about your early round strategy. The worst thing you can do is panic over a possible shortage at a position, and then grab a player you don't think is very good but is the best of what's left. You're just compounding one issue on top of another. Go for talent early, zig when everyone else is zagging, and then backfill through the second half of the draft.

Adam Bartel us

7/15/2008 9:03:49 AM

Jeremy Fischer

Only thing I have a disagreement with is the "don't reach" part. Not "reaching" for a player only comes into play if you have a draft position that you believe enables you to be a bit more patient. For instance, in this Mock I have the dead ass last position. I'm picking two-at-a-time, then waiting for 2 freaking days for things to come back around to me.

Starting now in Round 5, there are some guys that I value higher than others. But because there are so many selections that happen before it comes back around to me again, I'm probably going to have to reach for the talent that I really want somewhere along the lines in the next couple of rounds. If I don't, they won't come back to me.

Jeremy Fischer us

7/15/2008 4:18:01 PM

Dan Clasgens

I still say you have to draft in tiers and not worry about when the player might go, rather take a look at what will happen between now and your next pick. A perfect example would have been last year when I didn't have a third round pick, but I really wanted A-Pete so I took a stab at him in Round 2, knowing he would be gone by Round 4 when my turn came up next. Many mocked me then, but I wanted him and knew I wasn't going to sniff him 24 picks later, so I took him.

It doesn't always work out, but it did for me because I drafted in tiers and knew what taking would mean. Start the run, don't finish them and you will be rewarded in the end.

Dan Clasgens us

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