Fantasy owners, especially those that play in daily leagues, constantly obsess over matchups.  Who to start versus a particular team?  Who to avoid like the plague when they face a particular team?  As such, there is never a "sure thing", just trends and educated guesses. 

Well, unless it's Roy Oswalt pitching against the Cincinnati Reds.  Oswalt, for whatever reason, "O"wns the Reds. 

Last Monday night, in a 5-4 victory, Oswalt worked his magic again against the Reds in Minute Maid park (aka The Juicebox).  Oswalt came off the DL, where he was recovering from a hip flexor, and beat the Reds again.  He went five innings, gave up four runs and struck out five.  But that box score doesn't tell the whole truth.  Oswalt only threw one bad pitch, which Adam Dunn smartly deposited over the right field fence for a Grand Slam.  It was only the second Grand Slam that Oswalt has allowed in his career.  If Roy O. doesn't miss with that fastball, he gives up nothing.

Oswalt's career record versus the Reds is now 20-1.  20-1!  His record versus Cincinnati is better than any other team he faces.

Why do I bring this up?

Oswalt faces the Reds in Great American Ballpark-a Reds team that will be without Ken Griffey, Jr, and could be without Adam Dunn-on Thursday August 7th.  To borrow a phrase from T.O., "getcha popcorn ready".  And start Oswalt.  It's a sure thing.