Like last year, there is a lot of optimism for fans of the Cleveland Indians. The team won a tough division, knocked the Yankees out of the post-season before losing to the Red Sox in the LCS. The organization did not make too many changes in the off-season and really did not need to. To get back to the playoffs they just need some repeat performances from their top players. And a few may even get better. Here's a look at top the hitters on the Indians and how they might fare in real and fantasy baseball.
Grady Sizemore, OF - The Indians have one of the best lead-off hitters in the game with Sizemore. Last year, however, his numbers were actually down a bit. He batted just .277 with 24 home runs and 118 runs scored. The biggest drop came in doubles. In 2006 he led the league with 53 but finished with just 34 last year. He tried to make up for that by stealing 11 more bags last season, ending up with 33. Expect his average to be closer to .290 this year - he batted .290 and .289 in the previous two seasons. He probably won't get to 30 HRs but another 25 or so is likely. And depending on what the guys do behind him, he may not need to steal 30 bags. Regardless, all of that combined him to be one of the top outfielders in the game. He may not be a top round pick, but if you have the last pick of the second you probably won't see him.
Travis Hafner, DH - This time last year 'Pronk' was considered to be a first round pick in the world of fantasy baseball. He was coming off of a season with 42 HRs, 117 RBI and a .308 batting average, and looked as if he was just getting better. Well, looks can be deceiving. The Indians' slugger finished with just 24 homers, 100 RBI and a paltry .266 average. While there is no concrete reason for the drop in numbers, it is generally taken that Hafner was 'pressing' at the plate. Regardless, his fantasy value has dropped considerably. But don't let him go to far down the list. In the previous three seasons Pronk went from 28 to 33 to 42 HRs, drove in more than 100 runners in each of those years and batted .308 in them combined. There's a good chance that last season was just an 'off-year' for Hafner. Players have them. A-Rod did in 2006 and he bounced back fairly well. Expect Hafner to do the same.
Victor Martinez, C - Last year Martinez led the Indians with 25 HRs, 114 RBI and a .301 batting average. Those power numbers were by far the best among catchers and only Jorge Posada had a better average. There is no reason to think he won't lead his position in those categories once again, making him the best fantasy catcher. Last season he also started 24 games at first base, which does not really help from a fantasy perspective. However, it does help to give him some rest and takes away his liability of not being able to throw runners out. Still, when to draft him is a tricky question. There will be more than a few leagues where some owner will take him in the second round - or sooner! That's too early. But don't plan on being able to steal him in round five.