From Fitsnews.com:
Unearthed in 2000 by a sports researcher trying to provide
television announcers with something interesting to talk about on the
air, the “Redskins Rule” has quickly become a phenomenon of
Presidential prognostication.
In fact, depending on who you ask, the rule has either correctly
predicted 16 of the last 17 U.S. presidential elections … or gotten all
of them right.
More on that in a minute.
First, here’s how the rule works … “if the Washington Redskins win
their last home game prior to the presidential election, the candidate
representing the incumbent party remains in office. If the Redskins
lose, the incumbent party also loses.”
That’s not chiseled in stone anywhere, of course, but it’s one way
of saying that as the Redskins go, so goes the incumbent party.
In fact, the only time the “Redskins Rule” has failed to accurately
predict the U.S. presidential winner was in 2004, when Washington fell
28-14 to the Green Bay Packers just prior to the election and yet George W. Bush still won.
Other than that, the rule has been perfectly prescient (even pegging
Truman over Dewey), and some argue that Al Gore’s victory in the
popular vote in 2000 gets the rule off the hook for its blurry ‘04
crystal ball.
The “Redskins Rule” will have additional drama behind it tonight, as
both Senators John McCain and Barack Obama will make special guest
appearances on Monday Night Football with ESPN anchor Chris Berman.
In case you’re wondering, the 6-2 Skins’ are favored by a field goal
over the 5-2 Steelers … which means McCain may have a shot at this
thing after all, despite what the polls say.