Line-Up Locks: Week 9

by Jimmy Dinsmore 10/31/2008 3:36:00 PM

Here is our Week 9 edition of Line-Up Locks. Here's a quick look at those who have favorable matchups (LOCK IN) and those who deserve a spot on your bench this week (LOCK OUT):
 
QUARTERBACKS
Lock In:
--Kurt Warner @ StL
My take: This game could be a real shootout. Warner should be one of the top performing quarterbacks of the week.

--Chad Pennington @ Den
My take: The Broncos allow the second highest amount of points in the NFL AND they will be without Champ Bailey. Pennington will light up the Broncos this week.

--David Garrard @ Cin
My take: Garrard has really turned up his play of late and that trend will continue against a Bengals defense that is injury-depleted.

Lock Out:
--Derek Anderson vs. Bal
My take: Expect a low-scoring effort from everyone in this game. Anderson might get a TD, but he will be pressured and confused which will lead to low yardage totals and turnovers.

--Jason Campbell vs. Pitt
My take: Campbell will be tested in this game. With their confusing schemes and blitz packages, the Steelers will keep Campbell’s production to a minimum.

--Brett Favre @ Buf
My take: This could be one of the best games of the week. Buffalo is stinging from their first conference loss and will look for revenge against the Jets. Favre has not looked like himself lately, which is reason for concern if you’re a Favre owner.


RUNNING BACKS
Lock In:
--Earnest Graham @ KC
My take: Warrick Dunn is injured which means Graham will get almost all the carries against the league’s worst run defense. Graham will go off this week.

--Maurice Jones-Drew @ Cin
My take: You invested in an early pick for MJD and this will be the week you’ll be glad you did. Jones-Drew will exploit a porous Bengals defense.

--Matt Forte vs. Det
My take: Forte is pretty much an every week starter as it is, but if somehow you play matchups with him, the match up doesn’t get any better for this rookie stud.

Lock Out:
--Cedric Benson vs. Jax
My take: Benson has looked better than Chris Perry, but he’s still not worth a start, especially this week.

--Steve Slaton @ Min
My take: Slaton will face the toughest match up of his NFL career this week and likely will be unproductive.

--Edgerrin James @ StL
My take: It’s a nice match up for James, but he’s been losing carries and TDs to rookie Tim Hightower. James is not really a viable fantasy starter any more.


WIDE RECEIVERS
Lock In:
--Roddy White @ Oak
My take: If you haven’t been paying attention, Matt Ryan and Roddy White have become quite a duo. White has to be an every week starter at this point. Get him in your lineup.

--Donnie Avery vs. Ari
My take: Last week I mentioned that I still wasn’t sold on Avery. I am now ready to say that he has convinced me that he’s worth starting; this week especially in what could be a shootout.

--Anquan Boldin @ StL
My take: Along with Larry Fitzgerald, a healthy Anquan Boldin must be in your lineup and in a potential shootout, expect lots of looks and lots of potential TDs.

Lock Out:
--Terrell Owens @ NYG
My take: (This is the same thing I said last week, but it says it all, so I’ll copy and paste it) Did you see how bad the Cowboys offense looked without Tony Romo? They will be without him again this week, and that means, it's time to put TO on your bench. He'll probably whine about it, but do it anyway.

--Santana Moss vs. Pit
My take: Usually Moss is a worthy starter, but this week, play the match up and move him to your bench as Pittsburgh’s defense should keep the scoring low.

--TJ Houshmandzadeh vs. Jax
My take: In a PPR league, Housh still has value, but otherwise, it might be time to consider trading him or benching him, especially this week.


TIGHT ENDS
Lock In:
--Greg Olsen vs. Det
My take:  The Bears, all Bears, have a great match up. Olsen makes for a fantastic this week.

--Anthony Fasano @ Den
My take: As mentioned earlier, the Broncos defense is susceptible and Pennington will have time to throw the ball and Fasano could benefit from that.

--Kellen Winslow vs. Bal
My take: Winslow has stunk as a fantasy option this year, but expect him to step up his performance. While it’s a tough, low-scoring match up, Winslow could find the end zone.

Lock Out:
--Heath Miller @ Was
My take: The Redskins will keep Roethlisberger from having time and Miller will not be a factor in this game.

--Tony Gonzalez vs. TB
My take: The Bucs defense is very undervalued. They are stout and face Tyler Thigpen. As a result, I just don’t see any Chiefs receiver being worth a start.

--Chris Cooley vs. Pit
My take: Cooley might still be your best option, but keep your expectations to a minimum for him this week.


TEAM DEFENSE/ST
Lock In:
--Minnesota vs. Hou
--Jacksonville @ Cin
--Tampa Bay @ KC

Lock Out:
--Miami @ Den
--Arizona @ SL
--St. Louis vs. Ari

The Bearcat Blitz: Back in BLACK!

by Chris Murdico 10/31/2008 10:45:00 AM

The crowd was electric last night down at Nippert Stadium and they were treated to a great game. Thanks to Tony Pike having one of his best games and the defense playing strong, the Cincinnati Bearcats (6-2, 2-1 BIG EAST) "upset" the No. 23 ranked South Florida Bulls (6-2, 1-3 BIG EAST) 24-10.

Prior to the start of the game it wasn't certain that Pike would start and it was also announced that Chazz Anderson wouldn't play due to an injury he suffered in the UCONN game. So had Pike not been able to go, the Bearcats would have had to turn to Zach Collaros. No offense to Collaros, but fortunately Pike was able to go. With Pike taking the snaps, the Bearcats offense took on a completely different look than what they had in their last game. They were able to establish the run and stuck to it which helped set up the pass and allowed the 'Cats to run a great no huddle offense.

Pike played the game with a soft cast on his non-throwing arm, which he broke in the game against Akron earlier in the season. He played out of the shotgun for the majority of the game in order to keep from having the ball slam against his hand on a snap and putting pressure on that arm. It proved effective as Pike went 20-for-28 for 281 yards and two touchdowns.

With Pike playing strong, the quarterback carousel may have finally stopped. Because of all the changes over the last few games, the Bearcats had failed to convert on their last 25 third down attempts. Last night they went 5-for-10.

USF came into the game with the eighth ranked rushing defense in the country, allowing just 81.5 yards per game, and the 29 ranked defense overall. The Bearcats gave them a steady does of Jacob Ramsey and John Goebel who ran for a combined 121 yards and one score by Goebel. After only running the ball seven times against UCONN, head coach Brian Kelly knew the Bearcats needed to establish the run. By establishing the run, Pike was able to pick apart the USF secondary. The Bearcats also had success running the bubble screen. On one instance, Pike hit Mardy Gilyard for a 26-yard score. Pike's other passing score came on a one yard over the top pass to former tight end and fan favorite, Conner Barwin.

In my preview of the game, I said that in order for the Bearcats to come away with a win on Thursday night, they would need to shut down South Florida's quarterback, Matt Grothe. And that they did. They picked him off three times, twice off tipped passes. Grothe came into the game having thrown just five interceptions. He was pressured throughout the game and would finish 13-for-31 for 174 yards and no touchdowns. Aside from one amazing run where he should have been sacked at least three times, Grothe was held in check all night.

Senior cornerback Mike Mickens was one of the Bearcats to pick off Grothe. He returned the interception 58 yards only to be tackled by Grothe. The interception was the 13th of Mickens' career at UC, which set an all-time record. The turnover set up the Bearcats' first score of the night.

Coach Kelly asked for the crowd to BLACKOUT the Bulls last night, and to my surprise, the majority of the 31,000 plus in attendance did just that. The only negative I saw from last night was that the game was not a sell out. I realize it was a Thursday night, but it was a nationally televised game on ESPN. It was a little disappointing to see open seats in the stadium last night, but to those that did show up, we were all treated to a great game.

With the win the Bearcats are now bowl eligible. But they're not looking to just make one of those random dot.com bowls, they have their sights set on the BIG EAST title. A win last night kept them in the hunt for just that. They have a tough stretch of games coming up in their next three. They travel to West Virginia next week and then on the road again against Louisville. Their next home game comes on November 22nd when Pittsburgh comes to the 'Nati.

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