This weekend we will finally bear witness to one of the most anticipate rematches in UFC history. Saturday night Matt Serra will defend his Welterweight Title against Georges St-Pierre, a title that Serra actually won from GSP last year. Not only is this a highly intriguing fight, it will also mark the first time the UFC takes their event north of the border to Montreal, Quebec, Canada. Oddly enough, that just so happens to be GSP's hometown. So to say he will have be the crowd favorite would be a huge understatement.
Serra will come into this fight after having to back out of his last fight against Matt Hughes due to suffering a back injury during his training. It was that injury that shot GSP back into the title picture as he stepped in to take on Hughes for the rights at an interim Welterweight Title. GSP dominated his fight against Hughes, earning his rematch with Serra. It will be just over a year since these two guys last met when Serra "shocked the world" in an upset win over GSP. That win put Serra on the MMA/UFC map. While the loss was devastating for GSP, it was also an awakening for him. Since then he has changed his training regiment and has become one of, if not the best pound-for-pound fighters in the world. Serra hasn't been in a fight since his win over GSP. On the other hand, GSP has fought and beat two great fighters in Josh Koscheck and future hall of famer, Hughes. Serra is coming into this fight as the champion. Oddly enough though, he's also coming in as the underdog.
In addition to the Serra/GSP battle this weekend, Cincinnati native, Rich Franklin will step back into the Octagon to take on Travis Lutter. Franklin hasn't had a fight since his loss to Anderson Silva for the Middleweight Title back in October. Since then he's been out of the Octagon since after having knee surgery. Like Franklin, Lutter's last fight was against Silva when he lost to him over a year ago in February of 2007.
PREDICTING THE PPV
Georges St-Pierre vs. Matt Serra (for the Welterweight Title)
This is the main event on the evening, obviously. The background leading up to this fight has already been covered. How will it turn out? In my opinion, I think this is going to be a tough fight for Serra. GSP is a totally different guy from the one he saw over a year ago. Serra isn't going to surprise GSP this time around which leads me to think that we're going to see a new Welterweight Champion at the end of the PPV.
Prediction: GSP by submission in the 2nd round.
Rich Franklin vs. Travis Lutter
This should be a fun fight to watch. Lutter has lost three of his last four fights, so he has a lot to prove here if he wants to get his name on the list of fighters going for Silva's Middleweight Title. Franklin has lost two of his last four contest, both losses coming at the hands of Silva in title fights. The question that will be answered here is whether or not Lutter will be able to hang with the big boys of the middleweight division. If he can beat one of the best fighters in the division in Franklin, he could make a name for himself and catapult himself to an eventual title shot. While there is a chance that might happen, odds are Franklin will bounce back from his loss to Silva with an impressive win here. This could either turn out to be a good fight or one dominated by Franklin.
Prediction: Franklin by TKO in the 2nd round.
Nate Quarry vs. Kalib Starnes
Another middleweight fight on the card will showcase two guys trying to become relevant in the title picture. Quarry's last two fights ended via knockout. One of those was a loss to Rich Franklin back in November of 2005. The other was a win over Pete Sell in September of 2007. Starnes is coming off a loss to Alan Belcher back in October. Quarry has knockout power and Starnes has been TKO'ed in two of his last four fights. This one is tough to call. Quarry will probably try to keep the fight standing and go for the knockout blow. On the flip side, Starnes might try to take the fight to the mat and look for the submission.
Prediction: Starnes by Submission in the 3rd round.
Michael Bisping vs. Charles McCarthy
Up until his last fight, Bisping was undefeated in the UFC. His only loss came at the hands of Rashad Evans back in November. Before that fight Bisping had a controversial win over Matt Hamill. McCarthy is a relative unknown in the UFC. He hasn't fought in the UFC since November of 2006 when he defeated Gideon Ray. I honestly can't imagine an upset happening here. Bisping is going to be too strong for McCarthy and if he's able to keep the fight standing, McCarthy will be in trouble. Even if the fight goes to the mat, it probably won't stay there long.
Prediction: Bisping by TKO in the 1st round.
Mac Danzig vs. Mark Bocek
The most recent "The Ultimate Fighter" winner will step back into the Octagon for the first time since claiming that title. Danzig beat Tommy Spear in December of last year by submission in the first round to become the fifth TUF title. His matchup with Bocek this weekend should be a pretty good one to most likely kick off the PPV event. Bocek, like Danzig, comes into this fight having won his previous contest. Back in December Bocek beat Doug Evans by unanimous decision. Both of these guys are good at the ground game, so there's a good chance this one will end by submission. If one can't make the other tap, don't be surprised if it goes the distance and put into the judges hands.
Prediction: Danzig by Submission in the 2nd round.
OTHER QUICK PICKS
-Jason MacDonald vs. Joe Doerksen: MacDonald by Submission in the 2nd round.
-Alan Belcher vs. Jason Day: Belcher by Submission in the 1st round.
-Rich Clementi vs. Sam Stout: Stout by decision in the 3rd round.
Overall Prediction Results: 52-33