Sitting here watching a replay of the 1978 no-hitter thrown by Tom Seaver, it's difficult to figure out what went wrong with the Cincinnati Reds that season. Sure, Tony Perez was gone. But they still had Pete Rose, Joe Morgan, Johnny Bench, Ken Griffey and George Foster. Seaver was back for a full season with the Reds and the rest of the staff looked to be solid with Freddy Norman returning and the addition of Bill Bonham. So what happened?
Well, by today's standards, nothing went wrong. The Reds finished with a record of 83-78, good enough for second in the NL West. But this was a team that was just a year removed from back-to-back World Championships. Expectations were high.
A simple look at the numbers may explain a lot. Start with the top of the order - Rose. He finished the year with a solid .302 averaged and scored 103 runs. But he slumped badly in the summer, batting just .236 in August. Griffey had a fine year, posting a .305 average. But he was leading the league the night of the no-hitter with a .322 average. He peaked a few days later at .325 and fell from there, batting only .266 in the second half including .220 in July.
Joe Morgan had one of the worst seasons of his career in 1978. He batted just .236 and scored only 68 times. In his previous six seasons in Cincinnati he never batted below .288 and scored at least 107 runs in each of them. Bench was plagued with back problems for much of the season - something that bothered him for the rest of his career. He still managed to hit 23 Home Runs in just 120 games but drove in just 73 runners, the second lowest total in his career at that point.
George Foster once again led the league in Home Runs and RBI with 40 and 120 respectively. However, that was 12 home runs and 29 RBI fewer than the previous year!
And what about Tom Terrific? Well he finished with 16 wins and a 2.88 ERA. And, of course, one no-hitter. But he also lost 14 games and went 3-8 in the months of July and August combined. (Note the above mentioned slumps of Rose and Griffey.)
The points is, that even though baseball games are often determined by individual efforts, it takes the entire team to put together a successful season. A team cannot afford to lose key players to injuries. Mini-slumps hurt everyone. And season-long slumps are deadly.
The 1979 Reds would rebound and once again make the playoffs. But they eventually lost to the Pirates and were not able to make their fifth World Series in ten years. That loss marked the end of Big Red Machine and while there have been a few successful seasons since then, including a great 1990 campaign, Reds fans are still looking for those glory days. Maybe everything will come together this year. Who knows?